Tuesday, October 27, 2009
Time to take chips off the table
The panic of early 2009 has receded. Equities have rallied by 50% from the lows. Pension funding ratios are marginally better (corporate bond yields have decreased which means liability values have increased).
Markets feel a bit sluggish here. Some negative technicals have been cropping up.
Time to reduce equity exposure.
Liability driven investing (LDI) is being discussed, but it is not an all or nothing proposition. It is possible to transition to lower equity weights and now is the time to consider doing so.
Markets feel a bit sluggish here. Some negative technicals have been cropping up.
Time to reduce equity exposure.
Liability driven investing (LDI) is being discussed, but it is not an all or nothing proposition. It is possible to transition to lower equity weights and now is the time to consider doing so.
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Pension Risk
Interesting article on public pensions:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/10/AR2009101002360.html
I am not sure that ramping up risk is the right solution but it would be in line with the attitude of banks this past decade...if you need to keep up with peers (or in pension case, liabilities) just keep increasing leverage (risk) and if worst comes to worst (it did and likely will again in the case of pensions) government will be there to help out. Certainly with respect to public plans government backing is explicit; it was less so for the banking industry but that did not seem to stop them.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/10/AR2009101002360.html
I am not sure that ramping up risk is the right solution but it would be in line with the attitude of banks this past decade...if you need to keep up with peers (or in pension case, liabilities) just keep increasing leverage (risk) and if worst comes to worst (it did and likely will again in the case of pensions) government will be there to help out. Certainly with respect to public plans government backing is explicit; it was less so for the banking industry but that did not seem to stop them.
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